Bitcoin Price Falls, but One Expert Says ‘It’s Not Doom’

The Bitcoin price has dropped hard from its recent all-time highs, and headlines about “crashes” and “doom loops” are everywhere. After trading above 120,000 dollars in early October, Bitcoin slid more than 30 percent, briefly dipping into the low 80,000s and knocking over a trillion dollars off the broader crypto market.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin is hovering in the mid-80,000 range, still well below its peak but dramatically higher than its levels just a year or two ago. Bitcoin Price Falls.

Amid this sharp correction, it is easy to assume the bull cycle is over and a brutal bear market is beginning. Some analysts even warn of a potential slide towards 70,000 dollars or lower. Yet not everyone sees doom. One prominent industry figure, Binance CEO Richard Teng, argues that the latest Bitcoin price drop is largely a “healthy consolidation” phase that brings crypto volatility back in line with other risk assets. He notes that Bitcoin is still trading at more than twice its 2024 level despite the recent sell-off. Bitcoin Price Falls.

Other analysts echo this more optimistic tone, describing the move as a mid-cycle reset, not the end of the bull market. In this article, we will unpack why the Bitcoin price falls during such periods, what on-chain and macro data are signaling today, and why at least one expert insists this is not the end of the story for BTC. Bitcoin Price Falls.

Why Did the Bitcoin Price Fall So Sharply?

The first step in understanding why “it’s not doom” is to get clear on what actually triggered this downturn. The Bitcoin price rarely moves for just one reason; instead, several catalysts tend to compound at once.

Macroeconomic Pressure And Risk-Off Sentiment

One major driver of the latest Bitcoin price correction has been the macro backdrop. Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve might delay rate cuts or keep policy tighter for longer have made investors more cautious towards risk assets, including crypto.

When rates stay high, traditional assets like bonds often look relatively more attractive, and capital flows out of volatile segments such as growth stocks, AI names, and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin may be branded as digital gold, but in practice, traders still tend to treat it as a high-beta risk asset during macro shocks. That can amplify selling when fear spreads across markets. Bitcoin Price Falls.

Leverage, Liquidations, And The “Doom Loop” Narrative

The crypto market crash narrative is frequently fueled by leverage. In recent months, leveraged long positions built up as Bitcoin rallied into six-figure territory. When the Bitcoin price started to roll over, margin calls and forced liquidations kicked in. One analysis estimates that over 20 billion dollars’ worth of leveraged positions were wiped out across derivatives markets as key support levels broke, reinforcing a feedback loop of selling.

This is what some commentators have called a potential “doom loop” for crypto: prices fall, leveraged longs get liquidated, which pushes prices lower, which triggers even more liquidations. From the outside, it can look catastrophic. But from a structural point of view, it is also a cleanup process where excess speculation is flushed out of the system.

ETF Outflows And Profit-Taking From Early HOD Lers

Spot Bitcoin ETFs were hailed as a major bullish catalyst for BTC, and they did help drive the Bitcoin price to fresh highs. However, the same ETF rails can also become channels for heavy selling. In the recent downturn, spot ETFs recorded several days of net outflows, adding to selling pressure as investors locked in profits or de-risked.

At the same time, long-term holders who accumulated Bitcoin between roughly 40,000 and 80,000 dollars began to realize large gains, selling into strength while the market was still well above their cost basis. This mix of ETF outflows, HOD Ler profit-taking, and over-leveraged traders created a perfect storm for the Bitcoin price. Bitcoin Price Falls.

The Expert View: Why “It’s Not Doom”

Despite all this drama, not everyone believes the bull market is dead. That is where the “it’s not doom” perspective comes in.

Richard Teng: A Healthy Consolidation Phase

Binance CEO Richard Teng has been one of the loudest voices countering the panic narrative. In a recent interview, he argued that the Bitcoin price fall is part of a normal consolidation after an aggressive rally. According to Teng, the volatility we are seeing in Bitcoin is not unusually extreme when compared with other risk assets during macro stress.  Bitcoin Price Falls.

Most importantly, Teng points out that even after this pullback, Bitcoin is still trading at more than twice where it stood in 2024, when institutional adoption via ETFs really began to accelerate. If the long-term thesis for Bitcoin as a scarce, programmable asset with growing institutional demand remains intact, then a 20 to 35 percent correction may not be a sign of doom at all, but rather a breather.

Mid-Cycle Reset, Not A New Crypto Winter

Several independent analysts have also framed this as a mid-cycle reset. Research from multiple crypto outlets suggests that, historically, Bitcoin often experiences significant pullbacks even during strong bull markets. Some studies of prior cycles show drops of 30 to 50 percent before the uptrend resumes and new highs are made.

A recent outlook described the current move as Bitcoin’s first “red October” in years, noting that such a negative month does not automatically lead to a prolonged bear market. Instead, it may set the stage for a later recovery if macro conditions stabilize.  Bitcoin Price Falls.

From this perspective, the Bitcoin price is cooling off after an overheated run, with leveraged trades being cleared out and weaker hands shaken. That is painful in the short term, but it can extend the overall bull market by preventing an unsustainable blow-off top.

On-Chain Metrics Still Signal Strength

On-chain data offers more support for the “not doom” argument. Several analytics platforms highlight that a large percentage of Bitcoin’s circulating supply has not moved in over a year, a sign that committed long-term holders are not rushing for the exits.

Other reports note that smaller and mid-sized addresses have been accumulating during dips, suggesting that retail and mid-tier investors still see the Bitcoin price drop as a buying opportunity rather than a reason to abandon ship.  Bitcoin Price Falls.

Taken together, these on-chain metrics, ETF flows, and macro signals paint a picture of stress and volatility, but not of total breakdown.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bear, Base, And Bull Scenarios

No one can give a guaranteed Bitcoin price prediction, but it is useful to sketch out a few broad scenarios that analysts are debating right now.

Bear Case: Deep Correction And Extended Consolidation

In the bear scenario, the recent peak already marked the cycle top. Some technical experts using Elliott Wave analysis argue that Bitcoin could fall towards 70,000 dollars or lower and potentially grind sideways in a prolonged “crypto winter” until late 2026.

Under this view, the Bitcoin price would remain under pressure as higher rates, regulatory uncertainty, and waning risk appetite keep new capital away. ETF outflows might continue, and the narrative could shift from “digital gold” back toward “speculative tech bet.” Bitcoin Price Falls.

Even in this scenario, though, many experts do not expect Bitcoin to revisit the lows of past cycles. Structural adoption by corporations, ETFs, and sovereign entities means that there is likely a higher floor than in earlier winters.

Base Case: Classic Post-Peak Correction

A more moderate BTC forecast sees the current drawdown as a classic post-peak correction. Several medium-term models project Bitcoin eventually trading in the 50,000 to 70,000 dollar zone if the correction fully plays out, before stabilizing and gradually grinding higher again.

In this base case, the Bitcoin price may remain volatile, with sharp rallies and pullbacks, but the long-term trend stays broadly upward. The market would digest ETF positioning, clear out excess leverage, and adjust to the macro environment, while adoption continues to grow in the background.

Bull Case: Volatility Before Another Leg Up

The bull scenario leans heavily on the long-term Bitcoin price prediction 2025 and beyond. Some research outfits and investment firms project that Bitcoin could ultimately climb towards 150,000 to 200,000 dollars this cycle, with a few high-profile bulls even floating targets near 1 million dollars by 2030.

In this view, the current downturn is simply a violent shakeout on the way to higher highs. As inflation concerns, currency debasement fears, and the search for non-sovereign stores of value re-emerge, capital could rotate back into Bitcoin, especially if macro conditions ease and risk appetite returns.

The expert who says “it’s not doom” is essentially placing a bet closer to this bull or base case than the deep bear scenario. He is arguing that the long-term structural forces driving Bitcoin – limited supply, institutional adoption, and the narrative of digital gold – remain intact, even if the short-term Bitcoin price is messy.

How Everyday Investors Should View The Current Bitcoin Price

Panic headlines and red charts can easily push investors into emotional decisions. But if you step back, there are a few principles that can help you navigate crypto market volatility more calmly.

Volatility Is A Feature, Not A Bug

First, volatility is not an accident in Bitcoin; it is part of how the asset finds its long-term fair value. Every cycle, the Bitcoin price overshoots and then corrects as the market digests new information. The magnitude of these moves has historically been larger than in stocks or gold, but the upside moves have also been extraordinary.

This does not mean that volatility is pleasant or risk-free. It simply means that if you are going to participate in Bitcoin, you must accept that sharp Bitcoin price falls are part of the journey, not a rare anomaly.

Time Horizon Matters Much More Than Entry Point

Analyses of past cycles show that long-term holders with multi-year time horizons have generally done far better than short-term traders trying to time every top and bottom. One prominent corporate Bitcoin buyer, for example, has publicly stated that their business could remain viable even if Bitcoin fell 80 to 90 percent, highlighting the importance of long-term conviction.

This does not mean you should ignore risk management, but it does suggest that obsessing over every 5 percent move in the Bitcoin price may be less productive than focusing on allocation size, time horizon, and overall portfolio balance.

Diversification And Risk Management Are Still Essential

Even the most bullish BTC forecast does not justify putting all your capital into one asset. Bitcoin may have outperformed most other investments over the past decade, but it is still highly volatile and faces regulatory, technological, and competitive risks.

For most people, treating Bitcoin as a high-risk, high-reward slice of a diversified portfolio makes more sense than treating it as a guaranteed path to riches. Position sizing, stop-loss strategies, and regular rebalancing can help manage the emotional impact of Bitcoin price swings.

Key Factors That Will Shape The Next Bitcoin Price Move

Looking ahead, several forces are likely to influence where the Bitcoin price goes from here.

Macroeconomic Policy And Interest Rates

The path of interest rates remains one of the biggest variables. If inflation cools and central banks feel comfortable easing policy, risk assets could get fresh support, potentially lifting the Bitcoin price along with growth stocks and other speculative plays.

Conversely, if inflation proves sticky and rates stay higher for longer, markets could remain choppy and cautious, leading to continued range-bound trading or further downside for BTC.

ETF Flows And Institutional Adoption

Spot Bitcoin ETFs are still relatively young, and their long-term impact is not fully understood. Sustained net inflows from pension funds, asset managers, and wealth platforms could support the Bitcoin price, while persistent outflows would act as a visible headwind.

More broadly, developments such as corporate treasury allocations, sovereign wealth fund participation, or broader adoption of BTC as collateral in financial markets could all affect both liquidity and price stability.

Regulatory Clarity – Or Uncertainty

Regulation remains a wildcard. Clearer rules around custody, taxation, stable coins, and exchanges can encourage institutional participation and reduce some perceived risks. On the other hand, aggressive crackdowns or unexpectedly strict regulations in key markets could pressure the Bitcoin price in the short to medium term.

Why The Latest Bitcoin Price Fall May Be A Long-Term Opportunity

From the expert’s point of view, the core reason “it’s not doom” boils down to this: the long-term thesis has not changed, but the Bitcoin price has reset to a more reasonable level after an overheated run.

Many prior bull cycles have featured multiple large corrections before the ultimate top, and each of those drawdowns felt like the end of the world at the time. Investors who focused on fundamentals, network growth, and long-term Bitcoin price predictions rather than short-term fear often came out ahead.

Of course, no outcome is guaranteed. Bitcoin could still fall further, trade sideways for years, or face challenges that none of today’s models anticipate. But equating every sharp Bitcoin price drop with permanent doom ignores both historical precedent and the data on adoption, on-chain behavior, and institutional interest.

For now, the market is in a classic tug-of-war between fear and conviction, leverage and long-term capital. The expert betting on “not doom” is essentially saying that conviction, scarcity, and adoption will win that tug-of-war over time, even if it takes more volatility to get there.

Conclusion

The recent Bitcoin price fall has been brutal for latecomers and leveraged traders, erasing paper gains in weeks and fueling headlines about crashes and doom loops. Macroeconomic stress, ETF outflows, high leverage, and profit-taking from early HOD Lers all combined to drag BTC sharply off its highs.

Yet, as Binance’s Richard Teng and other analysts argue, this does not automatically mean the Bitcoin story is over. Volatility and deep corrections have always been part of Bitcoin’s DNA. On-chain metrics still show strong conviction from long-term holders, adoption trends remain broadly positive, and many Bitcoin price prediction models continue to project higher values over the coming years.

In other words, the charts may look scary, but one expert’s message is clear: it’s not doom. For investors, the key is to understand the risks, respect the volatility, and decide whether Bitcoin fits your long-term strategy, rather than letting every price swing dictate your next move.

FAQs

Q. Why is the Bitcoin price falling right now?

The Bitcoin price is under pressure due to a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty, tighter interest-rate expectations, ETF outflows, and forced liquidations of leveraged positions. When support levels broke, margin calls and liquidations cascaded across derivatives markets, amplifying the sell-off.

Q. Does this mean the Bitcoin bull market is over?

Not necessarily. Some analysts believe the cycle top is in, but others – including Binance CEO Richard Teng – see the current move as a healthy consolidation or mid-cycle reset, similar to past 30 to 50 percent corrections that occurred during previous bull runs.

Q. What are experts predicting for Bitcoin’s price by 2025?

Expert BTC forecasts vary widely. Some conservative models project Bitcoin trading in the 120,000 to 200,000 dollar range by 2025, while more aggressive predictions stretch toward 500,000 dollars or even 1 million dollars over a longer horizon. These Bitcoin price predictions depend heavily on macro conditions, ETF flows, and adoption trends.

Q. How should I manage risk with such a volatile asset?

Because crypto market volatility is extreme, most investors treat Bitcoin as a high-risk component of a diversified portfolio rather than an all-in bet. Position sizing, long-term time horizons, and regular rebalancing can all help you endure Bitcoin price swings without making impulsive decisions based on fear or greed.

Q. Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin after the price drop?

Whether now is a good time to buy depends on your risk tolerance, time horizon, and overall financial situation. Some experts view sharp Bitcoin price falls as opportunities for long-term investors, while others caution that further downside is possible if macro conditions worsen. It is wise to do your own research, understand the scenarios, and, if necessary, consult a qualified financial advisor before making significant investments.

See more;Panic Warning: Bitcoin Crashes Under $90K – Early Warning of Risk-Asset Meltdown?